Did Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 turn back in the Indian Ocean?

The Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 investigation team has based their working hypothesis for the last five months on the assumption that MH370 made an abrupt turn south then continued at a constant speed and direction for 5½ hours on autopilot and crashed in the Southern Indian Ocean .

My flight path suggests the plane was not on autopilot and continued on a northwesterly path past the last radar detection over the Straits of Malacca to the Andaman Islands . MH370 then turned southeast flying two hours and made a final turn northwest just before entering the Australian over the horizon radar system (JORN) coverage. The Boeing 777 then flew another 2 hour and 20 minutes across Indonesia and Malaysia at low altitude through radar blind spots before ending its flight 260 kilometers southwest of Ho Chi Minh City in the South China Sea. Google Earth map.

MH370 flight path below with an average speed of 480 knots.

The flight path matches Inmarsat's Burst Frequency Offset (BFO) measurements and the Burst Timing Offset (BTO) measurements

MH 370 flew at a lower altitude over Indonesia & Malaysia to avoid radar.

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NASA's infrared satellite images of the projected crash site.

Even if MH370 had entered the water intact, within hours hydraulic fluids and oils would have leaked out creating a carbon slick on the surface of sea. Absorbing the heat from the Sun those hot spots were picked up by NASA's PODAAC sea surface temperature satellite. The "slick" expands on the satellite images consistent with the flow of the sea surface currents from March 8th to March 16th.

Day 1- March 9th - Crash site hot spot

Day 4- March 12th the slick is 20 km wide

Day 5- March 13 slick grows to 30 km long

Day 8- March 16 the slick is over 50 km long

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The last 12 minutes of Flight MH 370

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The Eyewitness Report

On the morning of March 8, 2014, New Zealander Michael McKay was working as a drilling fluids consultant on the Songa Mercur oil rig about 186 miles southeast of Vung Tau, Vietnam when the Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 with 239 passengers and crew went missing. McKay reported in an email to his employer that he saw what he believed to be a burning plane falling into the South China Sea .  

On March 14, 2014, Mike McKay gave a statement of events to Nguyen Ngoc Hung , the director of the Vietnam's Foreign Affairs Department. Speaking with reporters after the meeting, Nguyen said “Mr. Michael Jerome McKay statement has been forwarded to higher authorities in Hanoi. It will be studied and used in the search for Flight 370”. McKay's eyewitness report was discounted by the Vietnamese authorities at the time because it was at odds with radar sightings which indicate the plane traveled west and then south, rather than towards Beijing, its intended destination.

An important fact in Mike McKay's statement to the Vietnam authorities that was not in his email was the time of his observation was "after dawn". Local sunrise was 6:04AM or 23:04 UTC.

What's the odds that two airplanes would crash in different oceans on the same day and time 4,000 miles apart and both on Inmarsat's 7th arc?

Was the plane on fire? With MH 370's fuel supply expired, it's most likely that McKay observed the morning sun reflecting off of the spiraling plane giving the illusion of a fire. At 7:15 A.M. Vietnam time the sun was 16° above the horizon almost due east (98°E) of the oil rig and the plane was observed at 8° above the horizon almost due west (175° W). Using simple geometry the Sun would reflect off the body and wings of the plane between the altitude of 24,000 to 23,000 ft at a distance of 80 kilometers.

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